The SSE Economic Tracker

Vol. 2, Issue 5  

Director’s Insights

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1. Global Economic Environment

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Metric Focus Current Forecast / Value
Global GDP Growth Forecast 2.8% (Downward Trend)
Global Trade Volume Growth 3.1% (Flat)
Table 1.1: Select Global Macroeconomic Indicators, Q2 2026. Data sourced from IMF and SSE Research interpolation.

2. Geopolitical Contagion: West Asia Crisis

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Figure 2.1: Brent Crude Oil Price Volatility (USD/bbl), Jan-May 2026.
Methodology Note: Represents average spot prices recorded at mid-month intervals. The spike in April corresponds directly with the escalation events.

3. Domestic Macroeconomic Performance

3.1 Inflationary Pressures (WPI & CPI)

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Figure 3.1: Comparative Analysis of Wholesale and Consumer Price Indices.

3.2 Industrial Production & Real Sector

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Figure 3.2: YoY Growth Dynamics in the Automobile Sector Dispatches.

3.3 Labour Market Dynamics

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Figure 3.3: Spatial Disaggregation of the Unemployment Rate (CMIE Data proxy).

3.4 External Sector & Financial Markets

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Financial Indicator End of Period Assessment
Forex Reserves $648 Bn
USD/INR Exchange Rate (Avg) 83.2
10-Year G-Sec Yield 7.12%
Table 3.1: Financial and External Sector Aggregates.

4. Policy Stance & Strategic Outlook

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4.1 Imperatives for Policy Planners